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Off Topics > For the smarter people.............
 
 
z11355
rrMaster
Location: 10000 is enough time wasted.

You're on a game show and there
are 3 doors in front of you.

Behind one of the doors is $10 million
dollars.

The game show host tells you that
once you decide which door, he will
open one of the OTHER doors at random
before he opens the door you selected.

So, you decide, he opens one of the
other doors and reveals NOTHING.

Now he says, 'you can change the
door you previously selected'

So, the question is...

Should you change your selection or
stay put? and why!
05-27-2003 Over year old.
HOMEPAGE  
 
 
Doug
Elite Veteran
Location: Naples Florida....

The odds are now %50 %50 so it does not matter (IMHO)

First member of Member of Bearings Anonymous
05-27-2003 Over year old.
 
 
MoSupaFly
Heliman
Location: Planet Earth

I'd say switch.

Initially, you have a 1/3 chance of being right, or otherwise a 2/3 chance of being wrong. Since I have a greater chance of being wrong on my first pick, I'd have a greater chance of winning by switching.
05-27-2003 Over year old.
 
 
Obsessive
Key Veteran
Location: 41.73N 71.41W

Rightyo, SupaFly!...
05-27-2003 Over year old.
HOMEPAGE  
 
 
30V2
Senior Heliman
Location: Chattanooga, TN

If one of the doors is an exit you could choose that door, the host will then open one of the other doors showing you where the money is!

Just a thought
05-27-2003 Over year old.
 
 
richardf
Veteran
Location: San Diego, CA Posts: Billions and Billions

Okay Z, I'll bite

.

Not because of the title, just for the challenge and because I have a rare minute here at work. I'm sure there is a twist that I don't see, so I will only be more 'fodder' for the posting.

The odds would start at 33%, unless you get some clue from the game host and this isn't the 1950's.

The host opens one of the curtains you haven't chosen, supposedly at RANDOM, hmm, this would imply the game show host doesn't even know which door has the money behind it. If it was truely random, he could open the door with the money, this is very doubtful.

So the curtain opens and there is no money....the odds are now 50% and you get the offer to change doors. Of course the host knows which door, so you have to suspect he is giving a a chance to pick the wrong door now, so you would stay with the same choice.

If you are a "half full" kind of person, you will not second guess yourself and change doors. In reallity you keep the original choice because the game host has insured your win.

Richard.
05-27-2003 Over year old.
 
 
Doug
Elite Veteran
Location: Naples Florida....

The second choice in not dependant on the first so it's like the flip of a coin

First member of Member of Bearings Anonymous
05-27-2003 Over year old.
 
 
sharam
Elite Veteran
Location: Northern California

Always switch.
05-27-2003 Over year old.
 
 
1UP
Key Veteran
Location: Claymont DE.

IS THIS ONE OF THOW SMALL BUS QUESTION ????
James

JAMES
member of the HOT GIRLS thread
If it's worth doing, then it's worth over doing
05-27-2003 Over year old.
 
 
z11355
rrMaster
Location: 10000 is enough time wasted.

try using E-N-G-L-I-S-H
05-27-2003 Over year old.
HOMEPAGE  
 
 
FinnDave
Elite Veteran
Location: Kouvola, Finland

stuff the host behind the door he opened, lock the door, open both other doors, grab money, run. Obvious!

David S., Kouvola, Finland
05-28-2003 Over year old.
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KC
Elite Veteran
Location: WA

either way youre f-cked

everybody knows game shows are rigged
05-28-2003 Over year old.
HOMEPAGE  
 
 
mvhf
Senior Heliman
Location: Antwerp, Belgium

You 'll never win, they will move the money behind the doors if you pick the right one.
05-28-2003 Over year old.
HOMEPAGE  
 
 
bart
Heliman
Location: Ripon, CA

Quote 
stuff the host behind the door he opened, lock the door, open both other doors, grab money, run.


Don't forget to grab Barker's Beauties on the way out
05-28-2003 Over year old.
 
 
FinnDave
Elite Veteran
Location: Kouvola, Finland

Assuming the 'Barker's Beauties' are 'game show hostesses', I'd guess they'd go where the 10 million went!

David S., Kouvola, Finland
05-28-2003 Over year old.
HOMEPAGE  
 
 
bart
Heliman
Location: Ripon, CA

Quote 
Assuming the 'Barker's Beauties' are 'game show hostesses'


Oops!....I forgot that's just an American gameshow.

FWIW: Gameshow was called "The Price is Right"
Host: Bob Barker...made famous by this show. Hostesses: 2 or 3 hot women showing off the prizes usually referred to as " Barker's Beauties"
Pretty good show.....was on for many years
05-28-2003 Over year old.
 
 
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